The Uttar Pradesh Election 2022- The Horse's " NEIGH " , the Ruler's " N-A-Y " And A " CAKE - WALK " For The B.J.P



Pic - :: The " NEIGH " Sound From The Horses Mouth, The " INFERENCE " Of U.P. Election 

Is there any possibility that the BJP can be defeated in the upcoming UP assembly election in 2022?

Eyebrows have been raised, oils laded lamps have started to be lightened and put in front of the God and Goddess, rituals and all the efforts have been  started to please the deities first, and then in the name of those deities and the God, appease and please the people to have  a strong faith in themselves, and to have a belief that WHATEVER GORY THAT WE DID IT- PLEASE DO NOT MIND FOR THE SAME AS WE COME TO YOU TO BEG YOU TO PUT US IN POWER SO THAT WHEN WE ARE SADDLED AT THE POWER WE WILL BY ANY COST HELP YOU TO GET WHAT YOU WANT.

Those whose Father’s had pumped bullets at the Hindu Priest and the Saint’s have started going to them, touching their feet and asking them- BLESS US. I’M SORRY FOR WHAT HAD BEEN DONE TO YOU ALL. BLESS US BY THE VOTES OF THOSE COMMUNITIES, THAT AND  THOSE BELONGS TO YOU BY PLEADING THEM TO VOTE FOR US.

That who condemned the Ram Mandir and Lord Shri Ram, now want to hold the Vishwakarma rallies to get the root level workers to attach to them. Those who were DEAD against the Brahmins and whose father had pumped  the bullet at the body of the Brahmin saying that- WHAT MORE CAN I DO TO PLESAE THE MUSLIMS, FOR THE SAKE OF THE MUSLIMS, I HAVE PUMPED BULLETS ON THE BODY OF 24 PIOUS HINDU PRIEST WHO WERE THE BRAHMINS. Now to please the Brahmins , they have decided to construct a 100 feet tall statue of Lord Parshurama.

The “ HOUDINI – ACT – OF- MODI- SHAH – YOGI ” - :: Is it a SWOT analysis or a TOWS Analysis

Ever  since Mr Modi, Mr Amit Shah and Yogi Adityanath have come to the forefront of the power and have started leading the BJP ahead, there has been a CHANGE in the pattern and the behavior of the opposition and that is something  which is either that we can construe it to call is  a METAPHORMOSIS or a combination of ADSORBTION or ABSORBTION.

Till the trio had come forward, what we could see that the opposition was totally into SPITTING on the name of the Hindu Gods and deities . However ever since this trio had come to the centre stage, what we find is the opposition now gorse and goes, from Temple to temple, from Mosque to the mosque, to Churches and to the Gurudwaras  and from there to some other places all connected to the heart of the Hindu Voters,  to just make the one’s who see it on the TV to send a message to them –

WE COME TO THESE PLACES FOR YOUR VOTES ONLY .

Massage Us With Your Votes , And Then We Will Send You The Message That This Is Free, That Is Free, And Electricity Is Free , Everything Would Be Free .

Freebies is at all a priority to run this country which is at least 75 yearsX 3.5 % = 262.50 % behind which actually is THIRTY-TWO-YEARS behind it’s own fixed target in terms of the COUNTRY-GDP-TURNOVER.

 IN OTHER WORDS THOUGH WE ARE IN 2021, WE ACTUALLY ARE PLACED IN 1989. Have these WORSHIPPERS of the God and the DIETIES ever, who start worshipping these in the SEASON of ELECTIONS have given a meaningful thought on these.

NEVER AND THEY WILL NOT . For them FIVE YEARS OF THE RULE OF “ LOOTS ” AND ………… “ SOPHISTICATED-PLUNDERS ” IS WHAT IS POLITICS AND GOVERNANCE” ALL ABOUT . 

A lot could be written but I put it a stop over here. Mentally, mentality requires a LOT like the state of the bent of the mind of either Raja Satyavaad Harishchandra or a Gautam  Buddha, who totally gave up their entire Kingdom, their wealth, and their every means of comfort just to make this world a place of enlightenment .

A country which has gifted and presented about 90 crores out of the 135 that it possesses in terms of the population, the DARKNESS to live in for ,  HOW CAN IT PROVIDE THE ENLIGHTENMENT THROUGH THESE SO CALLED THE  “ WOLVES ” heeded in the skin of the “ SHEEP ” and promise the ELECTRICITY, ie, the LIGHTS and that too free for the first 300 units.  DO THEY KNOW THE POWER GENERATING CAPACITY OF THIS COUNTRY?. By the way I ask these AAP’s- “ IS P[OWER GENERATED OR PRODUCED OR MANUFACTURED ” .Your FREEBIES in power of the power and electricity free for 300 units gives me a SHOCK which is as great as 300MW.

Many a lines written on the USELESS RANTING TOPIWALLAS, let me first come back to the Uttar Pradesh election.

I hear a LOT about many, and  those who are  on the verge of fielding their parties for the elections, about them asserting that once our party comes into power, we will do this, we shall do this, we are willing to do this, and we are hell bound to do this.

A lot of them say that B.J.P will be thrown by the public and our party will come into power. The glaring example of the same dictum to repeat this over and over has been the Samajwadi Party courtesy it’s Captain now. First he started with the number 352, and now he is confused as to what might be served to him at the end when the results are declared . Brewing the confidence like  the motor which starts the operation at it’s full  capacity, and completely remaining idle when the electricity to charge the motor is off, is what has become the habits of these politicians, just a SAMPLE of jokes now have these entities,  become over the year. It is because people now see and use their eye in a better fashion as compared to the earlier times, and use their brains and the logics to determine their fate for themselves, rather than leaving it to THESE SAMPLES OF JOKES- LAUGHTER THE BEST MEDICINE that these could be termed as !! .

Let me analyse scientifically whether BJP can lose the assembly election 2022.

1.    Firstly for BJP to lose the election, the party should post a vote share below 30 percent.  B.J.P to loose this election has to itself chop it’s feet which it is in no mood of doing. That they were constantly doing it from 1997 to 2014 for the Lok Sabha election and till 2017 for the State election. It has learned that SNAKES DRINK THE MILK IF YOU FEED IT WITH, ONLY TO “ DUNK” YOU TO LEAVE YOU HALF DEAD, STRUGGLING TO DIE IS YOUR PROBLEM GETTING MILK FROM YOU IS OUR PRIORITY. .


2.     If BJP should post less than 30% Congress should get anywhere between 15% to 20%, SP should get around 35%, BSP should retain its 19%. Congress is a dead party in UP and cannot go beyond 6%. Also SP has never crossed 30% even in the best of its time. Hence SP cannot get more than 30%. BSP is as of now very weak and at the best get 16% of its core votes. Hence BJP cannot get less than 40% votes. The B.J.P will amass around 47-49% of votes , without PLEASING any deities or the Gods and it has PLEASED the voters more than it could please the Gods .  With this vote share the party will be able to get 240 to 300 seats in UP assembly.


3.     Analysing caste-wise,-:


      the state has 21% forward class, 34% OBCs, 19% Muslims, 20% dalits, the  others are  6%. 90% of the forward class, of the overall percent from those 21%,  and 2/3 of the OBC will vote BJP. Also 1/3 of the Dalits other than Jatavs too will vote BJP, which together form 44% of vote share. Hence BJP can be assured of votes between 40% to 44% at the minimum.My own guess is that it maybe around 47% to 49% . . SP is the main opposition of BJP. SP will get the entire Yadav votes which is 10%. SP will also get 2/3 of Muslim votes which adds up to 25%. SP cannot expect votes from forward class or dalits. They do not trust SP. Hence SP can expect vote share between 25% to 28%. Therefore BJP is sure to win the election.


4.     Politically the state seem to have no gatbandhans, ie, " TIE-UP "  




Pic - The " N-A-Y  "  Embroidery  Sewing Machine 

     In   the assembly election 2022 if it is to be said and written, B.J.P cannot be made to sit on the HOT-POT-OF-GRAM-BAKEMENT-OVEN , or  over the fire, without any help from the others.  Without alliance opposition cannot hope to give a tough fight to BJP. Also the state and the condition is such that even if all the opposition join hands altogether at U.P, the B.J.P cannot be defeated till 2032 at all. This is the manner that the TRIO of " N-A-Y" ie nay , ie , NO which it means that it has worked in Uttar Pradesh .  The manner that and in  which it has worked it has made the other parties to " NEIGH " the grousing voice that the horses use.   Divided opposition will be a boon to BJP. In 2014 when the opposition was divided, in a three cornered fight BJP easily scored 71 seats in the general election to the Parliament, which is highest for any party in the last thirty years. In 2022 since there is no consensus among the opposition to give a one to one fight BJP stands to win. To me it is just not possible to fight the B.J.P unless and until the B.J.P on it’s own fight amongst themselves and finish them off which they did in the  period between 1997 to 2014 .


7.     Panchayat Elections-:


      In the just concluded Panchayat elections, BJP posted 25% against SP’s 24%. BSP got 9%, Congress 4%, Others got a whooping 30%. The others constitute rebel BJP candidates who contested because they were denied seats. In the assembly election BJP is certain to be careful in its selection of candidates and get more than 40% votes. The point to be noted is that even after losing the Panchayat election to the SP, the B.J.P in toto amassed higher percentage of the vote share as compared to the Samajwadi Party. The B.J.P will have to be very particular to give the tickets to their candidate and if properly done- it would be a CAKE-WALK by every mean  for the B.J.P


The Development Angle - :


 Yogi Government has worked like a BEE fulfilling every means that it could to make the people happy, and they  made tremendously  progress as well by making the well beings for everybody. Many infrastructural projects were and have been undertaken which resulted many a jobs in the root level sector. This is where he has won the HEART of his people. There are many a projects like - Purvanchal Expressway, Bundelkhand Expressway, Meerat Expressway, Yamuna Expressway, Ghorakpur Link Expressway, Bundelkhand Defence Corridor, Jewar International Airport, Ayodhya International Airport, Ram Mandir at Ayodhya, huge infrastructure projects in Varanasi, etc., which are either in its last leg of completion or completed. Also the production facilities for the  Brahmos has been established in Lucknow. Samsung has started production of Mobiles in Noida. UP has become the second largest economy under Yogi Adityanath and his  leadership. No CM in the past has achieved so much as Yogi has. Unemployment, the level which had stood at about 14.37% at and on a consistent level in the MICRO-SECTOR of the State economy ever since the last forty years, has come down to about  level has come down to 4% from double figures, under his leadership. THIS IS A HUGE ACHIEVEMENT FOR HIM AND FOR THE OTHER          “ CM ” TO EMULATE. Hence he cannot lose the election.


9.    There is no possibility of BJP losing the election and if one looks at it, especially by me, with all my analytics, and  looking at it from  any angle .  


It is because .....


The " TORN" Uttar Pradesh has been " STICHED " as if a NEW CLOTH on the horizon 


There would be many a mouths till the finals of the Uttar Pradesh poll results that would be declared - till then the effect of the various HORSE'S MOUTH  would be heard and seen on the TV channels. 



Pic - The Effect Of The " HORSE-NEIGH " Sound 

The ultimate effect of the HORSE SOUND  that is depicted here would be seen at last when the results comes out. Factors like EVM and some other things will keep on clinging and one would hear the sound of the same. Nothing new to us as we are habituated to hear all these. 

THE BJP IS BOUND TO WIN THIS ELECTION WITH ATLEAST “ 257 ” SEATS..

No doubt as they say- AS YOU S(E)OW, SO SHALL YOU REAP.

Well , that is it and That sums it all.

Regards and Thanks

Pics

Shyamal Bhattacharjee 

Mr Shyamal Bhattacharjee, the author was born at West Chirimiri Colliery at District Surguja, Chattisgarh on July 6th 1959 He received his early education at Carmel Convent School Bishrampur and later at Christ Church Boys' Higher Secondary School at Jabalpur. He later joined Hislop College at Nagpur and completed his graduation in Science and he also added a degree in    B A thereafter. He joined the HITAVADA, a leading dailies of Central India at Nagpur as a      Sub-Editor ( Sports ) but gave up to complete his MBA in 1984 He thereafter added a Diploma In Export Management. He has authored THREE books namely Notable Quotes and Noble Thought published by Pustak Mahal in 2001 Indian Cricket : Faces That Changed It  published by Manas Publications in 2009 and Essential Of Office Management published by NBCA, Kolkatta  in 2012. He has a experience of about 35 years in Marketing .






Signature Of Shyamal Bhattacharjee 

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Comments

  1. 🤔just wondering what the analysis in actual sense materialize into

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It can be even more . With the passage of the time it can be more but B.J.P will win this election hands down with atleast 250 at the minimum and 290 at the maximum Regards Newsshakes Shyamal Bhattacharjee

      Delete
    2. It can be even more . With the passage of the time it can be more but B.J.P will win this election hands down with atleast 250 at the minimum and 290 at the maximum Regards Newsshakes Shyamal Bhattacharjee

      Delete

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