The “ TSUNAMI ” Of National Election 2024. It Is …327 To 353 …. For The B.J.P And 23 To …26.. For The Congress…..
Well, the election of
2024 is over. After such a hectic parley of seven round of the grind and the aldous task for
the star leaders of the various parties,
who were marked as the STAR CAMPAIGNERS for their respective parties, at the
end , now what remains to be seen is the END RESULT of the party.
The “ B.J.P ” and
It’s OVER – 400 Bench Mark-::
The Prime Minister,
Mr Narendra Modi , who is also the PIED – PIPER of the B.J.P and
the overall, as I would like to term him as,
“ DON – QUIXOTE ”
of the N.D.A who had given a call for the N.D.A stating that -:
“ AB KI BAAR – CHAAR SAU PAAR ”
Will he be able to create that magic of crossing the target
of FOUR
– HUNDRED seats , or will he
stop somewhere within the periphery of 380 to 390 is to be
keenly observed That is the question of MYSTERY which could be turned
into a REALITY if the N.D.A crosses the 400
mark.If that happens it will be after FOUR
DECADES that a party would cross the mark of 400.The last time
it happened was in 1984 when the
Congress in itself crossed the 400 mark.
Taking the LEAST COMMAN MULTIPLES and
it’s factors into consideration , I forsee the B.J.P plus the N.D.A
touching the 390 marks and incase if the B.J.P itself crosses the 350
plus mark, the N.D.A can stop itself
counting to 425 seats and NOT more than that.
I’m taking the BALANCING – FULCRUM – POINT
of the B.J.P as 337 leveraging 10 seats of it at 327 and the N.D.A
ending at 388 .
Let us analyse the region one by one and come to the end
result of the same. HERE IN HAVE TAKEN THE B.J. P AND THE CONGRESS TO EVALUATE IT AND
NOT THE ENTIRE GROUP OF THE N.D.A AND THE U.P.A FOR THE SAME.
I’m NOT taking the associates of the N.D.A and the B.J.P to
evaluate the end total which here would not constitute the finality of the end
score of the national electional of 2024.
Pic - The Actual " NUMERAL " Of The " CONGRESS " In Individual Which Would Reflect As Their Representation And Strength At India For The 2024 Polls.
Let us come to the ZONE and I divide this into FIVE ZONE
namely -:
First - : North
It comprising of Punjab , Jammu and Kashmir , Haryana ,
Delhi, Uttrakhand, Himachal Pradesh,.
I lay down my seats analysis for the North Zone as under-:
A )
. Jammu and Kashmir-: This state has SIX seats in total
which I take the seats of Ladakh as well in it. The end result here would be-:
B.J.P – 3 Congress – 0 .
B ) .
Punjab -: This state
has a total of 13 L.S.seats of which FOUR of them are reserved for the RESERVED
category and the remaining NINE seats are unreserved . The end result would
be-:
B.J.P – 4 Congress – 1
C ) .
Haryana -: The break
up by the B.J.P which was leading the state that it had to suffer as their
ally separated from them would hamper B.J.P by atleast three seats that they
had won last time. Yet B.J.P will finish with leading all the other opponents
here .The end result here would be as follow-:
B.J.P – 6 Congress – 1
D ).
Uttrakhand -:
This would be the
FIRST state in the North, where the B.J.P will make a clean sweep winning all
the five seats.Uttrakhand has a total of five seats and the B.J.P will win all
the five seats.The end result would be as follow-:
B.J.P – 5 Congress – 0
E ) .
Himachal Pradesh
Himachal Pradesh has in total, four seats.The competition
would be severe at the mandi seat from where the film actress Kangana Ranaut is
contesting. However inspite of the competition being so fierce and tough she
would prevail, and the B.J.P will winn all the four seats from here. The end
result would be as follow
B.J.P – 4 Congress – 0
F ) .
New – Delhi-::
New Delhi also includes the Old Delhi and the combination of
the two makes it NEW = DELHI . It offers as many as SEVEN seats for the
ones to rub their shoulders with each other.The end result here would be as
follw-:
B.J.P – 7 Congress – 0
Hence in toto , the North Zone will fetch the B.J.P
a total of 29 seats out of the possible 45 seats.That gives the
B.J.P a clean strike frate of 64.44
percent. The Congress gets only 2/45 which works out to be 4.44 percent
Now let me come to the CENTRAL ZONE.This zone comprises of
Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh,
Chhattisgarh .This actually in real means compromises with and comprises
the Central Zone.The score card would read as follow-:
A ). Uttar
Pradesh-:
Here the state has EIGHTY seats to offer. This EIGHTY
seats is the HIGHEST number of the seats that a state offers to the
party to sieze its hold and the rein to rule India.
I and my analysis that stands for the Central Zone, in terms
of the bifurcation of the seats are as under and I start with Uttar Pradesh
B.J.P – 72 Congress – 0
NOTE- The So
Called the Scion Of The Gandhi Family Now, Rahul Gandhi Would Lose His Seat
From Rae Bareilly By Over 30,000 Votes
2 ) . The Other
scion Of The Singh Family Belonging To The Yadav Clan, Akhilesh Yadav Would
Lose His Seat From The Place He Is Fighting By A Margin Of About 30,000 Votes
B ) . Rajasthan -:
Rajasthan
this time will surprise the B.J.P.In 2019 and in 2014 they had won all the
seats that were in the offing that the state could offer .This state has 25 Lok
Sabha seats and the final tally will surprise the B.J.P as they will loose TWO
seats to the INDEPENDENT.The final tally here would be as follow-:
B.J.P – 23 Congress – 0
The OVER
CONFIDENCE of the B.J.P to field Bhupendra Yadav and taking the
Pali-Jaipur constituency so very lightly by the B.J.P will cost them dear by
TWO seats.
C ).
Madhya Pradesh-:
Madhya Pradesh by 55 % will spring a surprise the to the
B.J.P .This is because for the FIRST
TIME THERE IS A CHANCE THAT THE B.J.P MIGHT WIN FROM CHHINDWARA.If not they may
lose it and the chances of losing the same is by 45%
The final result will be as follow at Madhya Pradesh-:
B.J.P – 28 Congress – 1
D ). Chhattisgarh - ::
This state has ELEVEN seats to offer,The only hitch that the
B.J.P would face is the Bastar seat which always has been the Congress bastion.
This time maybe the Congress might win that seat
Another seat that comes in as a great result for the B.J.P
would be the Rajnandgoan seat where the former Chief Minister , Mr Bhupesh
Baghel is comtesting.This seat will be tensely fought and the defeat or the
victory margin would be only for the 5000
votes, and that will decide the issue. In all probability the B.J.P
will win the rajnandgoan seat.The end score would be as follow-:
B.J.P – 10 Congress – 1
Hence out of the
145 seats here in the fray the B.J.P will win 133 seats out of 145 .u
That constitutes for 91.72 percent.The Congress would win 1.37 percent
The NEXT in the offing is the West Zone which compromises of Maharashtra, Gujarat, Goa,
Daman and Diu , This will see a see –
saw battle pitched at Maharashtra with the likes of the broken Shiv Sena, the
broken N.C.P and also some other parties, led by the Prakash Ambedkar and the
likes of them to cross the sword with the B.J.P.However inspite of such a see-saw
battle at Maharashtra the B.J.P will have the last laugh.
The final score here would be as follow, however let me
state that Maharashtra as a state has 48 seats , the second largest in terms of
the seat to offer.The final score would be as such-:
A ) > Maharashtra - :;
B.J.P – 31 Congress – 3
B ) .
Gujarat-:
Gujarat is the FACTORY which produces the HINDUS and the
HINDUTVA. One line describes it all.There are 26 seats of Lok Sabha to be
offered and ONCE AGAIN FOR THE THIRD STRAIGHT TIME , THE B.J.P WILL WIN ALL THE
26 SEATS The Final score would be as follow-:
B.J.P – 26 Congress – 0
C ) . Goa -:
Goa has TEO seats to OFFER and the B.J.P this time would
romp home with the two as ascribed. The final tally would be as under-:
B.J.P – 2 Congress – 0
D ) . Daman And Diu - ::
This is a Union Territory and it offers only ONE seat. It is
believed that Congress win wil the only seat that Daman and Diu has to offer
.The final score here would be as foloow-:
B.J.P – 0 Congress – 1
So, in all, and
all in all, the West Zone which throws about 77 seats, The B.J.P here would win 59 seats which
makes it 76.62 percent of the strike rate of their success.
East Zone –
SURPRISE GALORE IN THE OFFING- :
East Zone comprises of Bengal , Bihar , Assam , Jharkhand, Orissa,
and the entire North East that makes it Tripura to be separated as that state
is ruled by the B.J.P individually.Hence I take Tripura separately within the East
Zone.
At East Zone, there would be surprise and BAGS full of UPHEVEALS and surprise that is
in store for those WHO THINK THAT THOSE STATES ARE THEIR FATHERS PROPERTY.
The end result of the states that comprises of the Esat Zone
are as under-:
A ) . Tripura-:
Tripura has TWO Lok Sabha seats to offer. The FIRST time it would be that the B.J.P
will win all the TWO seats as ascribed. The score card would reflect as-:
B.J.P – 2 Congress – 0
B ) . North East States-:
Leaving out Tripura the other North East state has NINE
seats to offer. There would be Manipur which might show its temper on the B.J.P
but that temper would be limited to 50 percent only
Manipur has TWO Lok Sabha seats and the B.J.P will
definitely get one.The other will go to the Congress.
Again, in the North Eastern region, the allies of the B.J.P
at Meghalaya, Arunachal Pradesh, Nagaland , Sikkim , Shillong , will win all
the NINE seats in the offing.
Those are the N.D.A seats and I’m NOT
taking that into account.
The Final score at the North East State for the NINE seats will be as follow-:
B.J.P – 3 Congress – 1
C ) . Assam
Assam has a total of 14 seats to offer . Here it is such
that the B.J.P will win as many as TEN seats in the minimum and the 12 at the
maximum.
In the matter of adjudication, it is the LEAST possibility
that is taken into account and hence I take the score of TEN as the maximum for
the B.J.P .
The final score is illustrated and enumerated here as under
-:
B.J.P – 10 Congress – 1
D ) . Bengal - ::
The adage at BENGAL is as under-:
EITA TOH AMADER BAAP
– ER – SOMPOTTI.
This means that THIS IS OUR FATHERS PROPERTY This thought took the COMMUNIST – LEFT away
from Bengal and Tripura and this thought will now take away the T.M.C headed by
Ms Mamta Banerjee.
The combination of “
BHAI POH ” and “ DIDI GO ” will
start doing the BHOW – BHOW which will start immediately at the end of
the result that would be declared and will continue till the end of the State election till 2026 which
also will see the end of the T.M.C and their GOONDAS as well as RAPIST rule,
which will come to an end at Bengal.
West Bengal has 42 seats to offer and the final score would
be as such -:
B.J.P – 24 Congress – 1
Seperately - THE TRINAMOOL AT BENGAL WIN HARDLY FIFTEEN SEATS.
Mr Adhir Ranjan Choudhury after a hectic battle will win his
seats. However that CRACK of
a lady Mohua Moitra and some others who were on the SKY
– NINE in 2019 will NOT
EVEN GET THE PLACE AND THE SPACE TO HIDE
THEIR FACE. Probably Shatrughan Sinha too will have to eat the BROKEN
PIE or would have to swallow
the BITTER – PILLS.
The end score would send many a SHRIVER to Ms Mamata
Banerjee. Her state of MIND would be really SURCASTIC after the results are
out.The B.J.P at Bengal will and could get even THIRTY but I take the LEAST
COMMON MULTIPLE as my count and the score.
E ) . Jharkhand-:
Jharkhand as a state is the fragment of Bihar but the voters
are very different from Bihar.The Adivasis make the roost as the voters and
they are fragmented into different categories.
Jharkhand has 14 seats to offer and as such the main
competition would be between the B.J.P and the J.M.M
The end score of the state would be as such-:
B.J.P – 12 Congress – 0
F ) . Bihar - ::
Bihar of all has 40 seats to offer. Bihar after Uttar
Pradesh, Maharashtra, Bengal , has the MOST
seats to offer to India.
This time around the Mr Nitish Kumar led N.D.A will reap the
BUMPER .However the B.J.P will win only 15 seats that it is contesting.The
final score here would be as follow-:
B.J.P – 15 Congress – 1
Orissa-:
Orissa as a state
is perhaps the MOST – POOREST state in India.It may not stand in the pole
position of being the poorest state but could stand as ONE – OF – THE – FIVE –
POOREST – STATE Of India.
For the state the people of Orissa will vote for Mr Pattnaik
and for the L.S. election the people will vote for the B.J.P
The end result would be as follow-:
B.J.P – 12 Congress – 0
Hence this completes the East Zone as the Zone for the Lok
Sabha election. There are about 142 seats that are in the
offing and the B.J.P would win about 78 seats , alone which
accounts for 54.92 percent of the success. The rival Congress would
bag 4 out the 142 seats.That makes it 2.81 percent
Last The “ SOUTH-BASTION ” - ::
Jeanne Bastein, that was the lady, from the U.S who would , everyday scream - :
“ TEARY – TORN - USELEES –
JEANS ”
No sooner that I heard of that COMIC, Mr Jairam Ramesh
propagating these words-:
B.J.P SOUTH MAI SAAF AUR NORTH MAI HALF , IT REMINISCENT , ME ,ABOUT THAT
TORN JEAN AND THE JEANE SCREAM
People SCREM about
ICE – CREAM but the Indian MALE VERSION of Ms Jeanne Bastein WAS
SCREAMING ALL ABOUT THE TORN PICTURE THAT CONGRESS IS AT SOUTH.
The SOUTH ZONE COMPRISES OF - :
Karnataka , Kerala, Pondicherry , Tamil Nadu, Telengana ,
Andhra Pradesh , The totality and the
vulnerability of the Congress where Mr MALR JEANNE BASTEIN of Congress would be
revelaed as such and this would be the figure of the Congress at each state-:
A ) . Karnataka-:
This state has 29 seats and the B.J.P will win 23 out of the
29.The final score would be as such-:
B.J.P – 23 Congress – 1
B ) .
Kerala - ::
Kerala has 29 seats.This time there would be a SURPRISE here
and the B.J.P may open it’s account at Kerala. Kerala might even show Rahul
Gandhi and Mr Shashi Tharoor losing their seats.
The Associate partner of the Congress, the United Democratic
Front will win the state election this time .However the Front led by Mr
Vijayan also ought to be taken into account.
As the ruling party holds the edge at the place that they
rule I put my money on the Left combine to bag the maximum number of L.S.seats
but the tussle between the Congress and the B.J.P will end up as such-:
B.J.P – 3 Congress – 2
C ) . Pondicherry - ::
There are TWO seats in the offing and the local parties that
ends with it’s name by “K” will win that
D ) . Tamil Nadu-:
This state will SPRING
the MAJOR SURPRISE. It is for the FIRST
time that the B.J.P will atleast FOUR
seats with the COIMBATORE
seat that would be won by Mr
ANNAMALAI who was termed as a JOKER by that FOOL,
the SCION from the MARAN-
DAYANIDHI to be precise of that
family
I WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF - ::
1 ) . THE B.J.P WINS " NINE " SEATS AT THE MAXIMUM
2 ) . Mr RAJA LOSES HIS[i]
SEAT FOR THE FIRST TIME AS SUCH
The end result would
be as such-:
B.J.P – 4 Congress – 1
Here for the state of Tamil Nadu , I’m taking the LEAST –
COMMON – MULTIPLE as the score for the B.J.P though this time around they can
win as many as NINE to TEN seats.
E ) . Telengana - ::
At Telengana if the B.J.P wins at Hyderabad displacing Mr
Owaisi from that seat IT WILL BE THE DEFEAT OF NAPOLEAN AT THE WATERLOO. For
that actually is the CONTEST.
Finally with all DUE RESPECT maybe Ms Madhavi Lata might
loose but if ONLY FIVE PERCENT of the MUSLIM VOTES shifts its gear to Ms Lata
that Mr OWAISI will be ‘’
MURGA – KA – BACHHA’’ for
the EGO that he possesses and for the TURNS that he says he is capable for.
The final score between the B.J.P and the Congress here
would be-:
B.J.P – 6 Congress – 6
F ) . Andhra
Pradesh ) .
Straight and simple, the B.J.P is expected to win only TWO
seats at the MINIMUM and SEVEN at the MAXIMUM and I put it as TWO for the
count.
The final score here would be as follow-:
B.J.P – 2 Congress – 0
Hence the total
number of votes that would be converted into the seats that the B.J.P will win would be as under-:
The B.J.P at South
will win 38 seats at the SUREST of all
the SURE which
amounts to 38/133 , which is about 28.58
percent and the Congress would win 10/133 which works out to be 7.52 percent
The total number of seats that the B.J.P will win SURELY and by 100 percent is 337
seats If atleast TEN more seats are
taken away the B.J.P will win 327 seats and THAT IS FOR SURE
IN NO MANNER THE
B.J.P WILL GET BELOW 280 SEATS and hence the B.J.P on its own will win the
ABSOLUTE MAJORITY
The CONGRESS in and on it’s own will win ONLY 22
SEATS
I HAD PREDICTED THIS IN MY BLOG BHATTACHARJEE SHYAMAL Blogger SOME
YEAR AND A HALG AGO
Well , Mr Arvind Kejriwal , your party will end up winning
FOUR at Punjab, ONE at Chandigarh and
that is what YOU ARE GOING TO GET
GET READY TO GO TO
JAIL. “ Mr BAVANDAR KA FALTU MAAL ” , Mr KEJRIWAL
Foot Note - ::
1 ) . The tally of B.J.P will be more if they can win some
more seats at Bengal , Tamil nadu , Maharashtra , Bihar ,Uttar Pradesh , .
2 ). Except the Union Territory of Daman and Diu which has
only one seat, I have NOT taken accounts of the other Union Territories like
Chandigarh to cite as an example.If
these constituencies gives some seats to the B.J.P then the CHAAR – SAU – PAAR will be
achieved without any remorse.
SWEET SIXTEEN :: CONGRESS CAN EVEN HIT THE “ SINGLE – DIGIT ” MARK
Congress can even end at NINE seats and it
can end at even the SWEET SIXTEEN . That
also is a possibility but at the BEST
it will win only TWENTY SIX seats at the best.
THAT IS LOK –
SABHA 2024 FOR YOU
Mr Shyamal Bhattacharjee, the author was born at West Chirimiri Colliery at District Surguja, Chattisgarh on July 6th 1959 He received his early education at Carmel Convent School Bishrampur and later at Christ Church Boys' Higher Secondary School at Jabalpur. He later joined Hislop College at Nagpur and completed his graduation in Science and he also added a degree in B A thereafter. He joined the HITAVADA, a leading dailies of Central India at Nagpur as a Sub-Editor ( Sports ) but gave up to complete his MBA in 1984 He thereafter added a Diploma In Export Management. He has authored SIX books namely Notable Quotes and Noble Thought published by Pustak Mahal in 2001 Indian Cricket : Faces That Changed It published by Manas Publications in 2009 and Essential Of Office Management published by NBCA, Kolkatta in 2012, GOLDEN QUOTES on Inspiration, Sorrow, Peace and Life, published by B.F.C Publications, Lucknow, and QUOTES:: Evolution and Origin of Management Electives by Clever Fox Publishing, Chennai and From Dhyan To Dhan :: Indian Hockey - Sudden Death Or Extra Time published by Clever Fox Publishing House and his FIRST book on Hindi poem, which reads as " BHED HAI GEHRA - BAAT JARA SI " published by Books Clinics , Bilaspur , Chhattisgarh. He has a experience of about 35 years in Marketing .
Signature Of Shyamal Bhattacharjee
.
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