The Angel Number 164 :: End Of The Game Of Mamta Banerjee :: “ KHELA – SHESH ”




Pic - :: The Angel Number 164
 :: This Is What The " BJP" Will Secure 

What Made The BJP To End The Game Of Mamta Banerjee :: “ KHELA – SHESH ”

At the outset , let me make the SECRET very clear that the INROADS of the BJP and to set it’s rule at Bengal was a PLAN which started at BJP as well as the RSS HQ , not from 2019 or 2014 byt from 1992 .This victory of the BJP is a RESULT of the HARDD WORK that the BJP and the RSS has put together ever since 1992 and this has come after a gap of 29 years, ie , a gap of THREE DECADES .For every three DECADES THAT THE bjp WAS crushed IN IT’S ELECTION ATTEMPT AT Bengal, it kept on learning from the practicalities and eventualities and there were many studies done so very richly and at last after a TRY , TRY AND TRY AGAIN for 29 years, the BJP at last has emerged VICTORIOUS.

The BJP could have set it’s rule at Bengal along with the TMC in 2001, when Ms Mamta Banerjee was with the NDA, but she wanted the rule of the TMC to be on it’s own term and ALONE in it’s manner and effort to set the rule at Bengal. That separation extended the rule of the LEFT – COMMUNIST at Bengal  for a decade and it pushed the BJP in such a place that  the emergence of it at Bengal looked very impossible but the RESERARCHERS of the RSS- BJP combined, especially the RSS worked very sincerely and enormously to make what the world believed it IMPOSSIBLE and the result is to be seen .

People would laugh at the BJP and it’s supporters at Bengal when they spoke about the BJP’s attempt to establish it’s rule at Bengal but at last the BJP-RSS proved that EFOORT are only the MODIFICATION and MODERNISATION of the ploy at the root level to conquer the fort and furl the victorious flag and today the BJP is on the door of furling it’s flag at Bengal to lay it’s hand to rule the state for atleast five years , now and maybe the next five years as well after this term ends.

The DUAL-NON-STOP – POINTER’S  “ HANDS ” OF THE BJP

The man who did this possible for the BJP were 1 ). Mr Dilip Ghosh.He was LAUGHED at always, was taunted, was made a LAUGHING STOCK and was always made the BUTT-OF-THE-JOKES but he carried out his job in an astute manner. The next ie , 2),  in the line was Mr Mithun Chakravorty who in a short span of time that he got, he and his ROAD-SHOW completely brought the people to the BJP and it’s camp.

These two made mistakes in the early part of their innings and that proved to be a deterring factor for the BJP but an as astute learner of the game, they very soon improvised their strategy and the rest is a history now.

Nothing could be more WORTH saying Mr Dilip Ghosh and Mr Mithun Chakravorty in Bengal - ::

DADA- KRITOGO ROILO AAR  ROILAAM , ABEDAAN ER SOOD PHIRATAY PARBO NAA , …..

It really means BROTHER- THANK YOU and would NOT be able to REWPAY the HELP in anyway even in terms of the interest that we owe to you.

Relentless efforts and the FOCUS on completely shattering the opponent’s that comes in to the way and the improvisation as always in every steps, beside GALVANISING ythe one’s who were the BJP members to put their BEST FOOT FORWARD inspite of the MURDERS committed by the opponent especially by the TMC Goons, did not stop the BJP and it’s member’s at all to eventually FLOUR and FLOOR the Mamta’s ILL-WISH-CRUEL deeds in every possible manner and to make her to LICK the dust.

The Mistakes Of Mamta Banerjee

While mistakes of Mamata are many, the first big mistake that definitely led to BJP entering Bengal was that she somewhere in pre-Modi period decided to make it a battle against Modi. That was the point where she had planted her sapling of destruction and the entry of Mr Modi and the BJP at Bengal.

Her second most GRAVIOUS mistake when she just turned down the plane of Mr Mohan Bhagwat when he had entered the Airport to be at Bengal to hold some meetimgs and MOTIVATIONAL Class for the RSS at Bengal. This habit of Mamta to send her back made the RSS cadre and the RSS followers to RAGE like a WOUNDED LION and ever since that many, many and many RESEARCH wer done to completely BREAK the TMC and Mamta Banerjee by the BACKBONE and by the SCRUFF of her COLLOR BONE and when at last it was found and learned by ONE RSS Follower that Mithun Chakravorty has TURNED  AADHYAATMIK ie, SPIRITUAL, that was enough for the RSS to talk SPIRIYUALISM in LENGTH with HIM for hours before turning him to join the BJP Brigade and when he did join the BJP , it was clear that more than FIFTY PERCEWNT of the VOTES will fall into the lap of the BJP. His is what was the JOB executed by the BJP-RSS and the one’s who devotedly withot any means of gains do work for the BJP-RSS .

BJP would NOT have gained more than 39% of the VOTES from this ekection at Bengal, but with Mithun Chakravorty entering the FRAY, and drawing as well as attracting the voters at the CITY, TOWN and the MOFFUSIL took that to the limit of about 50% and in the final analysis that was that and this is what would come out from the final result after the results would be declated on May 2nd 2021.

Over Critical And Criticising Of Mr Modi and Mr Shah :: It HOOKED the TMC & Mamtadi

If I remember well, Modi didn’t criticize Mamata that much in his first speeches when he came to West Bengal (note, this is about 2014 and not 2019 campaign). This was a time when Left was more or less vanquished from the state politics and Mamata was the unchallenged regional satrap. However, Modi’s mere presence in Bengal despite making very little to no noise against her kind of irked her, and then she decided to go on a tirade. I remember her using some terms on him, following which Modi decided to use sarcastic quips on her. The main was “ DIDI – O – DIDI ” The voice DID-O-DIDI in SOFT was RESPECT showered to her by Mr Modi but the VOICE which had GROUGHNESS in it and with a SHRILL was a WARNING message to her for the atrocity that she was continuously doing it to ransack the elections, and this was a MESSAGE to the intelligent that STORM awaits her after the election.

The FEARFUL one’s which the Bengalis have been  since the last 45 years mustered the COURAGE to come out in open at Bengal and that is reflected by the mannerism of about 82% of the votings taking place , on an average at Bengal this time and inspite of heavy GOONDAISM and VIOLENCE adopted by the TMC goons, these voters completely showed  and displayed their vengeance against the TMC in a respited but a in a collared  and effervescent controlled manner .This was just the FAITH Mr Modi could CREATE amongst the Bengal voters and the FAITH that he could create completely cornered the TMC and it’s applecart .This Mr Modi did that without using any HURTS and the WOUNDS that could be effected on Mr Less Ms Mamta Banerjee .This infact WAS THE MAJOR WEAPON INSIDE THE SLEEVES OF Mr MODI AND THIS INFACT DID THE TRICKS.

The FOLLY and the FOOLISHNESS of Ms Banerjee :: De-Facto and De-Jerks

Now she could have stopped it right there after the polls were over, but nope. Such was her folly that in Parliament it wasn’t Congress, but her party’s MPs who were making more noise against the BJP. I presume Mamata was trying hard to make herself look as a better opposition than Congress, but it was a sure way of making BJP look like a serious contender back in state. The whole thing of course didn’t materialize much for BJP in 2016 elections. Now this was I guess the perfect time for Mamata Banerjee to stop making it a personal battle. But then, Mamata was being herself.

Now on ground this actually began to happen somewhere from post 2016, with attacks on BJP cadres becoming more profound and frequent.  Till this time there has been about 200 murders about 100 or more than it wounded and many cases of abductions etc of which the numbers are not present with me to put it overe here. This led to a classic Streisand effect, where BJP, a party with far less MPs and MLAs than Congress or CPI(M) was now a bigger target for TMC, and it BECAME  one for the TMC, as an OPPONENT, to take it on, HANDS DOWN, first, and then completely SHAKING it to UPROOT it’s cart with no wheels to be seen around of the carts ,  leading in years to come to have more attention towards BJP. In next two years this would culminate in making BJP the primary opposition, first de-facto and later by 2019 de-jure. Talk about self-goals.

The second big mistake that she made was getting a friendly hand from the most politically-unconnected fellows in fight against the same BJP. As Delhi has Khan Market gang, Kolkata has the “Bhadraloks” , a term in Bengali that means “gentlemen”, though in modern jargon it is usually a term used to ridicule the uber-privileged class residing in posh localities of Kolkata, and who are also known to harbor a twisted notion of Bengal that seems largely unconnected to the average mass of Bengal. This section’s usual diatribe and bile against BJP by portraying them as “outsiders” and support to Mamata as the “lesser evil” doesn’t seem to resonate to the people who have actually suffered under Mamata, far from the ivory towers that these fellows here reside in. Among the more historically-aware population fed up with TMC, the history of BJP’s predecessor i.e. Jana Sangh being started by a Bengali himself, such statements of terming BJP as outsiders sound kind of……stupid.

So in the end, Mamata’s own ego and siding with the irrelevant brought BJP to her door.

The Political effects will be as follows.

1.  Farmers agitation will come to an end, as Tikait has asked not to vote for BJP.


2.  Prashant Kishore political value will be at stake.


3.  Mamata Banerjee political value will go down.


4.  G 23 of Congress will be more active , with RG and family will have to be at sidelines.


5.  Modi and Shah would be more powerful and Parliament will see more pro active bills from BJP.


6.  Maharastra Government will face the heat. They will have to BUY the BRAINS from the MARKET to THINK and MOVE ahead.


7.  BJP winning from Bengal will be a footing of BJP and Narendra Modi again in 2024.


8.  Expect more bold economic reforms after BJP winning Bengal.


9.  BJP won’t care about allegations by Rahul Gandhi.


Opposition will start deliberations for whole over India alliance for 2024. A Ten years is a very long time both in politics and in life.

Mull on it and you will realize that the character of this nation changed since 2014. From a frigid government ruling the nation from 2002 to 2014, the change to see something to a government in an obstacle race was established in the center.

The CYCLIC-ORDER-FACTOR of the BJP and it’s ALGORITHM and ALGEBRA - ::

It also needs to be pointed out that Kolkatta and it's suburbs only contribute to 42 seats…

BJP first started with the districts and slowly circled the city and this was evident in 2019Llok Sabha results.

The leaders of the districts and rural areas were worked upon and slowly Kolkata with its know all intellectuals lost the narrative as they were being pushed beyond their circle of influence

My read is that Didi was more in opposition than in governance and this vacuum was quickly filled or ignited by BJP

Booth management weakness is being countered by Weaponization of social media. The classic example was that after a rally by Mr Amit Shah, the BJP under the tutelage of Mr Dilip Ghosh immediately on the spot selected FIFTY young turks including some young girls and send them on a mission to visit villages after the villages and meet the voters individually and totor them the essence and the message that the BJP carries. Also in a rally which he conducted, in a rally Amit Shah was requesting each man to send 50 messages to their aquaintences about the virtues. Amplifying the reach…

Lastly the character of the TMC party is not based on any solid foundation, it was a cooperation formed to throttle the left… then what??

The “ OPIUM” and the “ CHAIN-REACTION ”

Since religion is the opium of the masses, opium was adequately pushed and the chain reaction was set.

Last but not the least ‘ Character is destiny ’

Character is what drives us. It is what makes us who we are. Heraclitus speaks, listen. Sadly TMC doesn't have it, nor does it have credibility.

"Psephologist Dr. Praveen Patil (@5Forty3) tweets:

There are 3 grades of anti-incumbencies in India:

1] Anti-incumbency against governance/policies

2] Anti-incumbency against governments; CM/PM et al.

3] Local anti-incumbency against sitting MPs/MLAs

Bengal is in the 4th grade; grassroots level anger against the system!

Two constant complaints you will hear in almost every village across West Bengal - which were not discussed so openly even in the run-up to 2019 elections:

A] Grassroots level corruption in everyday life ("Tolabaji")

and

B] State sponsored violence that scares every neighbourhood

The last time we witnessed a grade 4 anti-incumbency - grassroots level anger against the system - was in 2014 Andhra Pradesh elections against the sitting Congress Government after the division of the state.

Where is West Bengal headed towards?

3 months before elections, political trends in Bengal were clear.

There are only 2 possibilities as of today;

A] either it will be a closely fought election like Bihar

or

B] it will be a BJP landslide

"Whatever the election results, the fact is that never has there been such a massive grassroots impact in Bengal of a mere three words which don't even belong to the Bengali cultural language" - A Bengali 'intellectual' on the power of "Jai Shri Ram"!

The probability of a TMC landslide doesn't exist, and that is the BIG CHANGE!

10 years ago, exactly around this time, there existed only 2 possibilities in Bengal - either a close contest or a TMC sweep; CPIM lost that election & has never recovered since.

If I am Mamata Banerjee, I would be extremely scared of that decadal history right now!"

When I used to, and have been, saying this (though, admittedly, not in so many words), I am labelled a Bhakt. But when a well known psephologist says it, it is insight! Sigh, koyi kadar nahi karta!

But I can provide more details on this. The ' Tolabaji ' was brought about after the collapse of the Narda/Sharda, Demonetisation & the drying up of Petro$ funds. This necessitated ' Tola ' (Hafta for you all non-Bongs) becoming an imperative to keep the political machinery running. In fact the party became the ' Super Middle Man ' for all business running in the state. Earning from extraction and commissions.

The “ F-M-A ” ie the Finance-Marketing-Administration Factor - ::

As if this wasn't enough, even while its fashion sprouting MPs talked about ' Fascism ' in the well of the parliament, it has been increasingly being able to silence ANY voice which was raised as critique by either physical intimidation OR by Police lockup. Across the board. It achieves that by having the press either in its pocket (by virtue of being the primary advertiser) or letting the press know that crossing the line will not keep one's physical integrity intact!

If all this wasn't enough, it realised that to stop any kind of BJP wave hitting Bengal, not to mention facilitate its commercial functions, it needed to have control of all grass root administrative bodies. Thus, in 2018, it unleashed a never before seen physical intimidation across Bengal. THIS one activity tipped all the middling voters, who had no particular affinity towards BJP, towards it. The result was there for the 2019 election to see. And this turn of events was massive. Cos  and because , there is no denying the popularity of her coming to power in 2016. But, by 2018, the ground cadres who were Hindu started moving away from the party. As the ground workers moved, there was no option but for the leaders to move.This they did it because she APPEASED the MUSLIM and the Muslim voters like anything and that provoked the HINDU-VOTERS like anything and by the time the 2020 began, according to my study over 42% of the BJP and the Hindu voters in special were DEAD against this Lady to have to 3rd go. There itself the matter was decided and the results would be foreseen now.

On top of which has been the growing resentment towards the blatant pandering of Muslims. This has only been growing by leaps and bounds and has been resulting in a variety of communal riots, which media don't cover, but people have to bear on the ground. Bengali Hindus were forced to become aware of their Hindu identity. No sooner the JAI-SHRI-RAM started FURLING up the TMC LOVE started going down, down and down ever and after.

In all this, Didi's biggest enemy is WhatsApp. With the pressure cooking and people not being able to express openly, WhatsApp became the means of sharing and the more people shared the more there was to discover about what has been happening on the ground and it wasn't adding up to be a pretty story.

In all this, Prashant Kishor feels he has been able to tweak and fix all. Ha!, HA !, HA! , HA 1 HA ! . What READINGS- just I do not want to BREAK his HEAD but these are what makes the MEDICNE to go under the crust of the earth as LAUGHTER becomes the BEST MEDICINE.  The ground level anger is not being sussed out by all. Given the level of fear, neither is the ground level anger being expressed. But will it be a walk over for BJP? Tough to say. It is a party without convincing leadership in Bengal , now filled with opportunists, plenty of infighting.

That is the NEW TECHNIQUE which the BJP has presented and given to the WORLD of POLITICS.FIGHT WITHOUT A FACE AND THEN SELECT THE MAN .That they did it at Tripura, that they did it at Uttrakhand, that they did it at Madhya Pradesh last, THAT, and the various factions trying to trip each other might work against it- many might feel but that is how they have been WINNING the election .

 In ANY other circumstances they would have floundered. BUT it is the anger which might have the voters overlook it all. Didi might have managed to gift this state to BJP. Unless, BJP isn't able to get a majority on its own. It will then be kept out of power by a severely truncated TMC who will now have even more demanding quarters to mollify. And that is something the local voters are aware of. That makes them to shift out of the TMC and bring in the BJP.

 My PERSONAL ASSESMENT - :: 164 seats for the BJP

The RATIO of the VOTE this time according to my own and personal assessment is 5:3:1:1 . This means that for every voters, TEN in numbers, there will be FIVE votes for the BJP that it will get, there would be about THREE that the TMC will reap, and there would be ONE each for the COMMUNIST-LEFT and the OTHERS to get.

Bengal in all has about 6 crores of voters both LEGAL and ILLEGAL . Of these there are about 56 % of the voters who are HINDUS .

There would be about 3.2 crores of the HINDU votes which the JAI-SHRI-RAM will get and these constitutes about 56% and that if converted into the SEATS , then the BJP is to secure about 164 .60 seats.

IT IS THAT THE BJP WILL GET ABOUT 164 TO 165 SEATS and that would it actually be.

 THE STATE IS GOING TO BE RULED BY THE SAFFRON FOR ANOTHER DECADE IF ONLY LAW AND ORDERS ARE VERY VERY VERY VERY STRICT AND JUSTIPRUDENT.

 

Even if the numbers of the VOTERS are less than SIX crores the voting exercised would be in the RATIO of 5:3:1:1 and BJP will win 164 SEATS in toto.

The TMC will manage to get about 114 seats and the OTHERS as well as the LEFT in combination will get about 16 to 17 seats and INDIVIDUALLY the CONGRESS will get- MAYBE ONE at Murshidabad courtesy Mr Adhir Ranjan Choudhury .

FACTORS AND VARIOUS STUDIES THAT SUBSTANTIATES MY VALIDITY - :: 

The assembly elections in West Bengal is mostly between TMC and BJP. All other players are playing marginal game. Either of these two will be forming the next government. Both have advantages as well as disadvantages. Let me list out the same.

There have been many a MICRSOSCOPIC and MINICULISTIC factors that I have taken to present my study and these are the one's which makes me so CONFIDENT about my prediction and my BELIEF that BJP will win the election by securing 164 seats. These makes an interesting reading . 

Advantages of BJP:

1.     BJP has taken the cause of Hindus who form 68% of the population in the state. Because of the size of population BJP derives greater advantage over its opponents.

2.     While BJP is backing the major community, all other parties have been appeasing the minorities. Thereby the minorities are getting divided whereas the major community is United.

3.     BJP has got 41% votes in 2019 general election. The party need to increase the vote share by 3% or reduce the vote share of TMC by 3% to get majority. Both are possible.

4.     Owaisi and Abbasi Siddiqui of Furfura Sheriff are contesting the assembly elections on a big way dividing the minority votes.

5.     BJP is in power at the centre which help the party because of the numerous projects successfully completed. People feel BJP to be the right one to lead

6.     BJP has huge resources both physical as well as financially.

Advantages of TMC:

1.     TMC is in power in West Bengal which is a huge advantage because Mamata will not hesitate to use state machinery for her electoral gaii.

2.     TMC has the solid backing of the minorities who form 32% of the population. In 98 seats minorities are deciding factor. In as many as 60 constituencies minorities are 45% to 60%. Hence Mamata can be assured of 55 seats and required to win 95 more to form a government.

3.     TMC under Mamata has developed an army of goons who are ready to do anything. There were more than 130 deaths of BJP workers where there is a doubt that they might have been involved. These goons scare the public and intimidate them. They even capture booths for TMC.

4.     Mamata need to only hold on to her 43% vote share and slightly increase it by 1% to get decisive victory which is possible.

5.     Mamata hails from West Bengal and knows the contours of the land very well. She knows how to create a favourable atmosphere for her party. Also she is ruthless against her opposition.

6.     If Mamata marginally falls short of numbers, she can easily form the government by taking the help of secular parties like the Left or Congress who will also readily oblige her.

Disadvantages of BJP:

1.     BJP is fighting a lonely battle against TMC where TMC is supported by a host of parties like SP, RJD, SS etc.

2.     BJP cannot expect any support from the minorities. They will vote TMC or Owaisi or Abbasi Siddiqui party or the Mahajot. BJP need to get 45% votes from 68% of major community. BJP need to poll 65% of votes of the major community which is a tall order though possible.

3.     BJP is unable to name a CM candidate fearing divisions among the partymen. Hence not able to take on Mamata effectively.

Disadvantages of TMC:

1.     TMC is purely dependent on the votes of 32% minorities. Even if 3% to 5% minorities shift their loyalties, TMC is certain to go below 100 seats. Since IFS of Abbasi Siddiqui of Furfura Sharif and AIMIM of Owaisi are contesting on a big scale there is every possibility of this happening. Hence Mamata is now in vulnerable situation.

2.     In 2019 general elections BJP swept the northern and western Bengal. BJP was ahead in 125 assembly segments. Did very poorly in the south and central parts of the state. After Suvendu and Rajib resigned from TMC to join BJP, the BJP stock increased in these regions. Hence even if BJP win 23 seats they form the government. TMC is in a very precarious position.

3.     TMC cannot hope to win from the north and western Bengal because these regions do not have minority concentration. Therefore TMC can only lose more seats and cannot gain any.

4.     Wherever minorities are more in number, there the fight is multi cornered with too many aspirants from many parties. Wherever minorities are miniscule the fight is direct between BJP and TMC. Hence TMC is in disadvantages.

Going through these advantages and disadvantages you can form an opinion of who wins and who forms the government.

 There is s SMALL CHUNK of the Muslim voters that will vote for the BJP. Some 11% - 12% Muslims are definitely going for BJP . Even in Lok Sabha some 12% ,voted for BJP  in West Bengal. These are carefully over the time cultivated BJP  Muslim vote bank that consists of young men , some women and some poor sections. Most people often forget this vote bank. They are post 2014 muslims who have no memory of Ayodhya or 2002. 

Anything that would be less from the Muslim community for BJP at Beengal will be made up by the Matua Community and the BJP is expected to get about 70% of the seats from this community and that will make the BJP to win at Bengal. 

Add to that 56% or more Hindu vote bank and you get 42% votes that GUARANTEES THE BJP VICTORY .

IN ANY CASE BJP AT BENGAL WILL NOT BE LESS THAN " 148 " 

 The “ IMPACT ” Of “ BONGO – JOY ” For India :: Rise Of “ HINDUTVA” In India

The first step toward Akhand Bharat will start from Bengal only, the reason is Bengal is not like any other state, this is the state where if you put Nationalism in the right way, these people can be the greatest force which will make North Bengal and the complete North East safe from Rohingya and Bangladeshis illegal immigrant.

This is not just any other election this is the rise of Hindutva, get ready to see Amit Shah in the form you have never seen once they win the election, neither courts nor any kind of opposition will have power to stop them to throw Bangladeshis and the ILLEGLE Muslims especially the Pakistanis along with the Bangladeshi’s from and  out of India.

At last this entire reading and prediction that I do is based on the fact that the voters might have voted the way that we saw it on the TV for them to vote. If the voting patterns of the voters are different the results will not be as what I have mentioned.

Overall the BJP looks like the front runners but depends on the correct voting pattern.

 

Well , that is it and That sums it all.

Regards and Thanks

Pics



Shyamal Bhattacharjee 

Mr Shyamal Bhattacharjee, the author was born at West Chirimiri Colliery at District Surguja, Chattisgarh on July 6th 1959 He received his early education at Carmel Convent School Bishrampur and later at Christ Church Boys' Higher Secondary School at Jabalpur. He later joined Hislop College at Nagpur and completed his graduation in Science and he also added a degree in    B A thereafter. He joined the HITAVADA, a leading dailies of Central India at Nagpur as a      Sub-Editor ( Sports ) but gave up to complete his MBA in 1984 He thereafter added a Diploma In Export Management. He has authored THREE books namely Notable Quotes and Noble Thought published by Pustak Mahal in 2001 Indian Cricket : Faces That Changed It  published by Manas Publications in 2009 and Essential Of Office Management published by NBCA, Kolkatta  in 2012. He has a experience of about 35 years in Marketing .






Signature Of Shyamal Bhattacharjee 

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That is it.

 


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